The Dark Side of Solar

Robert McHugh • June 28, 2024

Overstating Production: The Illusion of Efficiency

Much to the dismay of many, the solar industry is wrought with unscrupulous sales and maintenance practices in the solar sector. This year alone, the New Jersey market has witnessed the downfall of eight established companies, leaving thousands of clients and systems without support.

Recently the Board of Public Utilities & the New Jersey Clean Energy Program had to stand up a Contractor Remediation Procedures program to address the overwhelming failure of so many solar installers to act ethically and in good faith to their customers. The push for clean energy adoption has provided significant incentives at the local, state and federal levels that unfortunately has attracted the worst among us. The market is flooded with predatory salespersons and dishonest companies looking to pillage these incentives and leaving the customer and rate payers holding the bag undisclosed payments and higher electrical costs. 


The top drivers od distressed customers at the BPU & NJCEP are :


  1. Salespeople knowingly undersize solar systems by 20% to 30%, and then overrepresent their production by 20% or more. This deceptive approach creates an illusion of efficiency and cost-effectiveness, luring unsuspecting customers with the promise of lower costs.
  2. Post-install support and maintenance. Salespeople and companies misrepresent warranties and service commitments. Often, these affected systems will languish and become derelict. The arrays will drop offline, the inverters will have error codes, and when left unaddressed, the system production drops precipitously or even to zero. When this happens, the customers lose the benefits of solar, become reliant on the utilities retail rates and are still saddled with large loan payments. 


The long-term consequences of such practices are severe. Undersized systems will not produce enough energy to meet the customer’s needs, resulting in higher electricity bills and a longer payback period for the investment. Additionally, these systems may not be eligible for certain incentives and rebates offered by governments and utility companies, further diminishing their value. I thought I would share my insight and recommendations for those considering solar and how to avoid these all-too-common situations.


The Mechanics of Under sizing


To understand under sizing, let’s first break down the basic components of a solar system. A typical system includes solar panels, an inverter, and a monitoring system. The solar panels generate direct current (DC) electricity, which is then converted to alternating current (AC) by the inverter for use in your home or business. The monitoring system tracks the system’s performance and provides data on its energy production.


Under sizing involves selecting solar panels and inverters with lower capacities than required to meet 100% of a customer’s energy needs. This approach results in a smaller, less expensive system that may seem more appealing at first glance, but the consequences can be significant.


Overstating Production: The Illusion of Efficiency


In addition to under sizing the system, these salespeople exaggerate the production capabilities of these smaller systems by 10%, 20%, or even more. They provide misleading estimates of the system’s energy production, often based on overly optimistic assumptions about weather conditions, shading, and panel degradation over time. This creates the illusion that the system is capable of meeting the customer’s energy needs, even when it’s not.


The Consequences of Under sizing


While an undersized system might appear cheaper upfront, the long-term costs can be much higher. A system that doesn’t produce enough energy can lead to unexpected electricity bills and a longer payback period for your solar investment. In many cases, the total cost can end up exceeding what you would’ve paid to your utility before installing solar.


Additionally, many solar companies do not maintain their systems adequately or worse, do not honor their warranties, leading to reliability issues. This can increase frustration, disrupt your energy supply, and further drive-up costs due to reliance on your utility company.


An undersized system may also disqualify you from certain government and utility incentives, which often require a specific level of energy production to qualify. These incentives, like New Jersey’s Solar Renewable Energy Certificates (SREC) program, can provide significant financial benefits, but if your system is underperforming, you won’t receive the full incentives.


Protecting Yourself from Deceptive Practices


To avoid deceptive practices in the solar industry, consider these tips:


  1. Get multiple quotes: Request quotes from several solar companies to compare prices (by kilowatt), system sizes (in kilowatts), and estimated production (in kilowatt-hours). Be wary of significantly lower quotes — they may indicate an undersized system.
  2. Verify production estimates: Ask the solar company to explain their energy production estimates, including their assumptions about weather, shading, and panel orientation. You can also use online solar calculators to estimate the energy production of a system based on your location. The PVWatts Calculator by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) is a reliable resource (https://pvwatts.nrel.gov/).
  3. Check certifications and licenses: Ensure the solar company and its installers are certified by reputable organizations, such as the North American Board of Certified Energy Practitioners (NABCEP) or the Solar Energy Industries Association (SEIA). Verify whether the company handles the design, engineering, and installation or if they subcontract the work. Ensure that licensed electrical contractors & engineers are involved in the process, and not just rubber stamps.
  4. Read customer reviews: Research the company’s reputation by reading customer reviews and testimonials. Look for complaints about undersized systems or misleading production estimates. Search Facebook and Reddit for groups of disenfranchised customers, if the company and its sales force have more than a few negatively affected customers, there will be a group on these platforms sharing their experiences. Take note of the recency of these reviews. 
  5. Research each company with New Jersey's Department of Consumer affairs.  To properly design, install and maintain solar, the company should to be NJ licensed electrical & home improvement contractor.
  6. Research each company on New Jersey's Clean Energy Programs list of vendors and Trade Allies.  Pay particular attention to those companies that are listed as Trade Allies, these organizations have gone through additional scrutiny and have the experience and reputation to install and support your solar project.


By doing your research and taking the time to understand the potential pitfalls, you can protect yourself from deceptive practices in the solar industry. Being a well-informed consumer will help you make the best choice for your energy needs and avoid costly surprises down the road.


By Robert McHugh March 19, 2025
New Jersey residents are bracing for yet another electric rate increase, with bills set to rise by 17% to 20% starting in June 2025. The New Jersey Board of Public Utilities (NJBPU) attributes this surge to the annual Basic Generation Service (BGS) auction and broader market pressures. However, a deeper examination reveals a more troubling reality: the state’s outdated and poorly maintained electrical grid is not only driving up costs but also stalling the transition to a cleaner, more resilient energy future. A Crumbling Grid: The Root of Rising Costs A 2024 investigative report from NJ.com, titled " Here’s Why Your Electric Bill Is Soaring ," underscores the compounded effects of aging infrastructure, increasing demand, and rising energy supply costs. New Jersey’s electrical grid, with components dating back over a century, is struggling to keep up with the demands of modern energy consumption. The rapid proliferation of data centers, cryptocurrency mining operations, electric vehicles (EVs), and air conditioning usage during hotter summers is placing unprecedented stress on the system. The NJBPU’s own statements from its February 2025 auction announcement acknowledge these challenges, citing "lagging new generation interconnection" as a key factor in price hikes. Watchdog organizations such as Advanced Energy United have further criticized delays in connecting new power sources to the grid, exacerbating supply shortages and forcing utilities to shift the financial burden onto consumers. Despite these glaring deficiencies, the state and NJBPU remain locked in a cycle of temporary fixes, patching up infrastructure to stave off collapse rather than investing in comprehensive modernization. The Solar Solution: Proven and Ready For the past two decades, the NJBPU has supported and incentivized solar energy projects, which have played a crucial role in mitigating electric rate hikes. According to a 2022 NJBPU press release on grid modernization, New Jersey has already surpassed 4 gigawatts of installed solar capacity, enough to power over 500,000 homes annually. Distributed solar energy—including rooftop panels, community solar arrays, and commercial installations—has proven to be an effective decentralized solution. By generating electricity at the point of consumption, solar reduces strain on the grid, enhances energy security, and helps stabilize costs. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported that solar accounted for 7% of New Jersey’s in-state electricity generation in 2023, a figure expected to grow as electrification accelerates nationwide. Utility Resistance: Stifling Progress Despite its benefits, New Jersey’s major utilities—Atlantic City Electric, Jersey Central Power & Light (JCP&L), and Public Service Electric & Gas (PSE&G)—are actively obstructing solar expansion. Entire sections of the grid have been closed to new solar interconnections, with utilities citing "failing and overloaded infrastructure" as the justification. A 2024 WHYY report on the rate hike fallout revealed that over 97% of PJM Interconnection’s queued energy projects, primarily solar and wind, remain stalled due to grid limitations. The Powering Up New Jersey Report, published by the Natural Resources Defense Council (NRDC) in October 2024, highlights how outdated utility practices and aging equipment are preventing the state from modernizing its energy landscape. Solar developers are ready to deploy clean energy solutions, yet they face unnecessary roadblocks from a grid incapable of handling the transition. A Policy Failure with Costly Consequences Utilities have little financial incentive to upgrade infrastructure when they can simply pass costs onto consumers through rate hikes. Consider JCP&L, which serves 1.1 million customers across northwest New Jersey. Homeowners, like one from Parsippany who took to social media to complain about a $782 electric bill in July 2024 (NorthJersey.com), are being forced to fund a broken system while solar projects that could lower their costs remain in limbo. PSE&G, despite boasting clean energy goals, has systematically restricted access to the grid for new solar projects. Meanwhile, Atlantic City Electric representative Phil Vavala testified at a 2024 legislative hearing (6ABC Philadelphia), stating their "commitment to reliability." Yet, their continued solar interconnection shutdowns suggest otherwise. The NJBPU's reluctance to enforce necessary grid upgrades only perpetuates these problems, leaving residents paying more for unreliable service while the state falls behind in energy modernization. The Path Forward: Unlocking Solar's Full Potential To break free from this cycle, New Jersey must adopt an aggressive approach to grid reform and solar expansion. Here’s what needs to happen: Hold Utilities Accountable: The NJBPU must mandate that utilities prioritize infrastructure upgrades over repeated rate increases. Streamline Interconnection Policies: Implementing the recommendations from the NJBPU’s 2022 Grid Modernization Report can accelerate the approval of solar projects and unclog the backlog of stalled developments. Expand Distributed Solar: By incentivizing rooftop solar, community solar, and storage solutions, the state can reduce reliance on aging infrastructure and mitigate future rate hikes. Encourage Energy Storage Deployment: Large-scale battery storage systems can stabilize the grid, storing excess solar energy for use during peak demand periods. Modernize Grid Management: Upgrading substations, transformers, and transmission lines will not only enable more solar integration but also enhance overall system reliability. The Choice Is Clear New Jersey’s electric rate hikes are not simply the result of market forces; they are a direct consequence of a crumbling grid and a failure to embrace sustainable energy solutions. The state has a proven alternative in distributed solar, yet bureaucratic inertia and utility resistance threaten to stifle progress. The clock is ticking. New Jersey can either continue down the path of higher rates and outdated infrastructure or seize the opportunity to build a modern, resilient, and affordable energy system powered by solar. The choice is ours.
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